Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.487610 0.622334 0.767759 0.934473 1.118552 1.314050 1.535901
2025-03-30 0.286158 0.461654 0.671636 0.931651 1.236854 1.577085 1.979000
2025-04-06 0.179280 0.361726 0.600351 0.913357 1.296174 1.735941 2.267717
2025-04-13 0.128806 0.320014 0.589734 0.959235 1.424315 1.969317 2.638224
2025-04-20 0.093873 0.289203 0.585153 1.005928 1.547943 2.192969 2.993567
2025-04-27 0.069842 0.267979 0.588858 1.059710 1.677695 2.422080 3.353996
2025-05-04 0.058308 0.265636 0.617920 1.145903 1.847294 2.698615 3.770130
2025-05-11 0.042804 0.249126 0.622435 1.196552 1.970191 2.917544 4.117257
2025-05-18 0.025491 0.218921 0.600900 1.207929 2.040289 3.070359 4.384255
2025-05-25 0.007548 0.165840 0.532787 1.147061 2.011634 3.098094 4.498220
2025-06-01 0.000301 0.119545 0.465945 1.081258 1.971586 3.108053 4.587700
2025-06-08 NaN 0.092373 0.428421 1.055567 1.982721 3.180171 4.751002
2025-06-15 NaN 0.080160 0.421717 1.080925 2.069090 3.354816 5.049364
2025-06-22 NaN 0.063751 0.401444 1.083152 2.123270 3.489140 5.299729
2025-06-29 NaN 0.045439 0.369196 1.061901 2.141746 3.575362 5.488589
2025-07-06 NaN 0.042622 0.378815 1.111936 2.262479 3.795080 5.844587
2025-07-13 NaN 0.040145 0.388719 1.162258 2.383592 4.015361 6.201447
2025-07-20 NaN 0.039146 0.402994 1.220279 2.516002 4.250664 6.577440
2025-07-27 NaN 0.043854 0.436599 1.313002 2.699358 4.553329 7.038495
2025-08-03 NaN 0.042257 0.448760 1.367386 2.826732 4.782385 7.407158
2025-08-10 NaN 0.034536 0.437807 1.379591 2.891963 4.929326 7.672387
2025-08-17 NaN 0.018779 0.386283 1.314248 2.840744 4.920756 7.740300
2025-08-24 NaN 0.007572 0.334975 1.243478 2.778000 4.894488 7.783886